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Rwanda vs Nigeria Prediction: Amavubi or super eagle

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Agyeman Joshua

Mar 21, 2025

Match Day: Friday, March 21, 2025

Venue: Stade Amahoro, Kigali

Competition: 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers – Group C


All eyes will be on Stade Amahoro this Friday when Rwanda hosts Nigeria in a crucial 2026 World Cup qualifier. This is not just any match — both teams are fighting to keep their World Cup dreams alive, and the stakes are sky high.


Background and Recent Form


Rwanda shocked many fans when they beat Nigeria 2-1 in their last meeting during the AFCON qualifiers in November 2024. In that game, Samuel Chukwueze gave Nigeria the lead, but Rwanda responded fast with goals from Ange Mutsinzi and Innocent Nshuti to take all three points in Nigeria.


Since then, Rwanda continued their strong form with a 1-0 away win against Lesotho in June 2024. This has helped them stay top of Group C with 7 points after 4 games.

Nigeria, on the other hand, is having a hard time. They lost 2-1 to Benin and now sit 5th in the group with only 3 points. A loss in Kigali could be a huge blow to their World Cup chances.


Team Strengths and Stats


  • Head-to-Head: Rwanda and Nigeria have faced off 7 times. Nigeria has 2 wins, Rwanda 1, and 4 draws.

  • Low Scoring Trend: Most of their past games (6 out of 7) have had less than 3 goals.

  • Home Worries for Rwanda: They've failed to score in 8 of their last 10 home games.

  • Nigeria’s Away Form: Nigeria is unbeaten in their last 3 away games.


What the Experts Say

  • Some experts believe Nigeria should win, saying their quality in attack and defense is better, even if they’ve had a rough start.

  • Others think Rwanda will fight hard at home, especially after beating Nigeria recently and topping the group.

  • Some predict a draw, given how close and low-scoring these matches usually are.


New Coaches, New Pressure


This match will also be the first World Cup qualifier for Eric Chelle, Nigeria’s new coach. Rwanda also has a new boss — Adel Amrouche — and this will be a big test for him too. Both coaches will want to start with a win, but it won’t be easy.


Prediction and Betting Tips

🔹 Predicted Score: Rwanda 1-2 Nigeria

🔹 Tip 1: Nigeria to win

🔹 Tip 2: Both teams to score

🔹 Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals


If Nigeria wants to stay in the race for the 2026 World Cup, they must win this game. But Rwanda has shown they can beat big teams — especially at home — and they won't make it easy.

One thing is sure: this will be a hard-fought, exciting match with everything on the line.

Massad Boulos, Senior Advisor for Africa, U.S. Department of State and Corina Sanders, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, U.S. Department of State

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